Creature Armaments in a Nutshell

12.09.2014 11:51 / comments: 3 / view: 1579 /

Author: AcademHero




Creature armament drops have been the subject of a lot of guesswork, with many people complaining they get nothing but rubbish. The author of this article, for example, has been able to beef up— guess what—his Farmers and Infuriated Behemoths. So, we’ve collected and analyzed real-world data to set the record straight. One thing we found out for sure is that armaments with a 2-point bonus drop far less frequently than those with a 1-point bonus.


Data sample: We reviewed about 400 defence combats (MC #1209) = 1,200 chances to acquire an armament. This should be sufficient to estimate probabilities with decent accuracy. Don’t expect too many fancy graphs though; sometimes the answer you need is as simple as a number.

So, here are our findings in Q&A format.


What are the odds of getting a creature armament in facility defense?

Around 79%.It’s likely to be 80%.


If an armament drops, what are the odds of it giving a 2-point bonus (2 defence/initiative/attack)?

17.7%, or slightly more often than 1 out of every 6 drops.


If an armament drops, what are the odds of it giving a bonus for an upgraded creature?

63.2%. We suspect this is because there are almost twice as many upgraded creatures (including alternate upgrades) in the game as there are basic ones.


Is it true that armaments drop less frequently for the main faction than for other factions?

Nope, it’s all a matter of luck. Out of 944 armaments that dropped in our 400 combats, 122 were the main faction armaments (i.e. the character’s current faction), which is 12.9%. Assuming all factions are equal, the fair odds would be 1 out of every 9, or 11.1%.


How are the armaments distributed across factions? For instance, Barbs have double upgrade creatures. It means that they have more creatures on the whole.

We didn’t notice any significant deviation. Each faction’s share fell in the tight range of 10% to 12.5%.



Finally, here are a couple of tables for you.

1) Odds by armament bonus (note how the numbers are pretty even across those giving 1-point bonuses, and again across those giving 2-point bonuses):


Armament bonus Chance
1% 29%
1 28%
1 26%
2% 7%
2 6%
2 5%
Total 100%


2) Odds by creature level:


Creature lvl Basic Upgraded Subtotal
1 18% 19% 19%
2 15% 11% 12%
3 9% 17% 14%
4 15% 10% 12%
5 14% 17% 16%
6 14% 14% 14%
7 14% 12% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100%


A larger data sample could probably improve precision, but it seems that armaments do drop a bit more frequently for lvl 1 creatures than for higher levels.



comments

1 / 12.09.2014 11:58 / l_e_s_e_n_a [13] ?
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2 / 12.09.2014 12:43 / Êàññèýëü [15] ?
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3 / 12.09.2014 18:38 / _Sworks_ [13] ?
Nice one, interesting article
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